IMRA Middle East News Updates https://www.imra.org.il Middle East News & Analysis en-US 1776439945 1776439945 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Capalon Internet 2.0 imra@netvision.net.il (Aaron Lerner) News & Analysis IMRA Middle East News Updates https://www.imra.org.il https://www.imra.org.il/imra_sm.png 144 97 Lebanese President Aoun: Goal Is Israeli Withdrawal - Not Disarming Hezbollah https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74440 <p>Lebanese President Aoun: Goal Is Israeli Withdrawal - Not Disarming <br /> Hezbollah <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 17 April 2026 <br /> <br /> As President Aoun sees it, the goal of the talks with Israel is to have them <br /> withdraw and resolve border disputes (aka - have Israel withdraw form parts <br /> of Israel). <br /> <br /> Please note that MP Ghassan Hasbani, who is quoted below saying "we affirmed <br /> that when Beirut is safe we will have a launch for all of Lebanon safe and <br /> free of weapons" does not represent the government or the presidency. He is <br /> an opposition MP. <br /> <br /> In sharp contrast, the most that President Aoun is willing to say is that <br /> "the Lebanese Army will play a fundamental role after the withdrawal of the <br /> Israeli forces in terms of deployment up to the international southern <br /> borders and ending the armed manifestations and reassuring the southerners <br /> after their return to their villages and towns, that there are no armed <br /> forces other than the army and the legitimate security forces." <br /> <br /> So President Aoun won't even talk about disarming Hezbollah in general. And <br /> when it comes to South Lebanon, the goal that "that there are no armed <br /> forces other than the army and the legitimate security forces" is almost an <br /> afterthought. <br /> <br /> If President Trump is serious about resolving the situation and not a photo <br /> op, he should endorse achieving MP Ghassan Hasbani's goal of disarming <br /> Hezbollah everywhere in Lebanon. <br /> <br /> First: Disarm Hezbollah in the Beirut area. <br /> <br /> Second: Disarm Hezbollah in other areas not now under the control of the <br /> IDF. <br /> <br /> Only then: Replacement of IDF forces with Lebanese Army forces in a <br /> systematic polygon-by-polygon approach. <br /> <br /> English translation of official Lebanese report of Pres. Aoun's remarks <br /> regarding ceasefire <br /> https://www.presidency.gov.lb/posts/reys-aljmhwryh-amam-wfd-mn-nwab-byrwt-mq <br /> arbh-mrhlh-ma-bad-wqf-atlaq-alnar-tttlb-whdh-fy-almwaqf-alwtnyh-wtdhamna-sya <br /> sya-jamaa-ma-aldwlh-lan-almfawdhat-almbashrh-dqyqh-wmfslyh-j93261938403019 <br /> (Website of the Lebanon Presidency) <br /> Official private meetings 17 April 2026 <br /> <br /> President of the Republic before a delegation of Beirut MPs: The approach to <br /> the post-ceasefire phase requires unity in national positions and <br /> comprehensive political solidarity with the state because the direct <br /> negotiations are delicate and pivotal. <br /> <br /> President Aoun: The ceasefire is the gateway to proceeding with the <br /> negotiations and an option that receives local and external support. <br /> <br /> President of the Republic: National responsibility must be one in the next <br /> phase and the Lebanese are today facing a new reality that has received Arab <br /> and international support. <br /> <br /> MP Hasbani: We sensed from His Excellency the President that there is <br /> seriousness and solid sponsorship for the issue of negotiations and we <br /> affirmed that when Beirut is safe we will have a launch for all of Lebanon <br /> safe and free of weapons. <br /> <br /> MP Khalaf: President Aoun affirmed that the opportunity that Lebanon has <br /> reached through the ceasefire is a pivotal and essential station in a path <br /> that awaits it to achieve greater stability for this tormented homeland. <br /> <br /> President of the Republic General Joseph Aoun affirmed during his reception <br /> of a delegation of Beirut MPs that the direct negotiations are delicate and <br /> pivotal and that national responsibility must be one in the next phase, and <br /> that the eyes of the world are directed towards Lebanon, stressing that the <br /> goal of the Lebanese state from the negotiations is to consolidate the <br /> ceasefire and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the occupied southern <br /> territories and the recovery of the prisoners and the resolution of the <br /> disputes occurring between Lebanon and Israel on a number of border points. <br /> <br /> And President Aoun informed the parliamentary delegation that the approach <br /> to the post-ceasefire phase requires unity in national positions and <br /> comprehensive political solidarity with the state so that the ability of the <br /> Lebanese team to achieve what the negotiations aimed for is not weakened, <br /> especially with regard to consolidating the ceasefire which is considered <br /> the gateway to proceeding with the negotiations and it is an option that <br /> receives local and external support, the most prominent manifestations of <br /> which was what US President Donald Trump announced during the phone call <br /> yesterday of support for Lebanon and its sovereignty and independence and <br /> the safety of its lands, in addition to the United States standing by the <br /> Lebanese people to end their suffering and regain their well-being and <br /> reactivate their economy which was negatively affected as a result of the <br /> recent war. <br /> <br /> And President Aoun affirmed that the Lebanese Army will play a fundamental <br /> role after the withdrawal of the Israeli forces in terms of deployment up to <br /> the international southern borders and ending the armed manifestations and <br /> reassuring the southerners after their return to their villages and towns, <br /> that there are no armed forces other than the army and the legitimate <br /> security forces. <br /> <br /> And President Aoun stressed that the Lebanese who have endured a lot in the <br /> past years are today facing a new reality that has received Arab and <br /> international support and this opportunity must not be wasted because it may <br /> not be repeated. <br /> <br /> ________________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Fri, 17 Apr 2026 11:32:25 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74440 Following the Egypt-Israel model, full diplomatic relations before Israel Withdraws https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74439 <p>Following the Egypt-Israel model, full diplomatic relations before Israel <br /> Withdraws <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 17 April 2026 <br /> <br /> 26 March 1979: The Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty was signed in Washington, D.C.. <br /> This treaty included mutual recognition, end of the state of war, and <br /> normalization of relations in exchange for Israel's complete withdrawal from <br /> the Sinai Peninsula. <br /> <br /> 26 January 1980: Full diplomatic relations were officially established <br /> between Israel and Egypt. <br /> <br /> 26 February 26, 1980: Ambassadors were exchanged (Eliyahu Ben-Elissar became <br /> Israel's first ambassador to Egypt). <br /> <br /> 25 April 25, 1982: Israel completed its full withdrawal from the Sinai <br /> Peninsula (the process took about three years, with phased withdrawals). <br /> ________________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Fri, 17 Apr 2026 10:29:16 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74439 Weekly Commentary: Hamas Refusal To Disarm Challenges Trump's Word https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74438 <p>Weekly Commentary: Hamas Refusal To Disarm Challenges Trump's Word<br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 16 April 2026</p> <p>"They said they were going to disarm, and if they don't disarm, we will<br /> disarm them. it will happen quickly and perhaps violently. But they will<br /> disarm, do you understand me?"<br /> President Trump 14 October 2025 talking with reporters at the White House<br /> (during a meeting with Argentinian President Javier Milei)</p> <p>"Hamas must IMMEDIATELY honor its commitments, including the return of the<br /> final body to Israel, and proceed without delay to full Demilitarization. As<br /> I have said before, they can do this the easy way, or the hard way. The<br /> people of Gaza have suffered long enough."<br /> President Trump TruthSocial 16 January 2026</p> <p>Hamas has rejected the disarmament plan of a top figure in President Donald<br /> Trump's Gaza peace efforts, a senior Palestinian official familiar with the<br /> negotiations has told the BBC.<br /> 14 April 2026 BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4vvxxg8lgo</p> <p>You can view the situation with Iran and Lebanon through rose-colored<br /> glasses (aided possibly by some mental gymnastics) to conclude<br /> optimistically that Mr. Trump remains committed to the goals which were set.</p> <p>But it requires blinders to ignore what's happening in Gaza.</p> <p>Hamas had ostensibly agreed to disarm within the framework of President<br /> Trump's plan, and now they reject that framework.</p> <p>President Trump was crystal clear about what would happen to Hamas if they<br /> rejected the deal.</p> <p>But now he and his entire team is stone-silent regarding this development.</p> <p>And Iran and Hezbollah, not to mention China and others, are taking notes.</p> <p>Because Gaza is the simplest test.</p> <p>What happens or doesn't happen in Gaza has absolutely no impact on the world<br /> economy.</p> <p>No American troops need to risk their lives.</p> <p>And while some potential voters may scream about Gaza, there is a laundry<br /> list of other concerns which take precedence over what they may feel about<br /> Gaza when they decide who to elect to Congress in November.</p> <p>I can appreciate that it would not be pleasant for President Trump to<br /> concede that his bosom buddy Erdogan and others he has lauded didn't deliver<br /> the goods.</p> <p>But, then again, Mr. Trump can simply ignore that they failed him as he<br /> gives us the green light to act decisively against Hamas.</p> <p>Yes.</p> <p>Iran and Hezbollah, not to mention China and others, are taking notes.</p> <p>If President Trump willingly ignores an inconvenient reality regarding<br /> Hamas, why should they take him seriously in substantially more challenging<br /> situations?</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Thu, 16 Apr 2026 17:26:13 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74438 FMs from UK, France, etc.: quiet in Lebanon more important than disarming Hezbollah https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74437 <p>FMs from UK, France, etc.: quiet in Lebanon more important than disarming<br /> Hezbollah</p> <p>Lebanon: Joint Foreign Ministers' Statement, 14 April 2026<br /> Statement on Lebanon by the Foreign Ministers of Australia, Belgium,<br /> Croatia, Cyprus, Denmark, Finland, France, Greece, Iceland, Ireland,<br /> Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain,<br /> Sweden, and the United Kingdom.<br /> https://www.gov.uk/government/news/lebanon-joint-foreign-ministers-statement<br /> -14-april-2026</p> <p>From: Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and The Rt Hon Yvette<br /> Cooper MP<br /> Published 14 April 2026</p> <p>We, Ministers of Foreign Affairs of Australia, Belgium, Croatia, Cyprus,<br /> Denmark, Finland, France, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta, the<br /> Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, and the United<br /> Kingdom, call for the inclusion of Lebanon in the regional de-escalation<br /> efforts and urge all parties to work toward a lasting political solution.<br /> The continuation of the war in Lebanon puts at risks the current regional<br /> de-escalation, which we have welcomed and must be fully respected by all<br /> parties.</p> <p>We welcome the initiative by President Aoun to open direct talks with Israel<br /> and the acceptance by Israel to start the talks facilitated by the United<br /> States. We call on both parties to seize this opportunity. Direct<br /> negotiations can pave the way to bring lasting security for Lebanon and<br /> Israel as well as the region. We stand ready to support them. We therefore<br /> call upon all parties to urgently deescalate and seize the opportunity<br /> offered by the ceasefire between the United States and Iran.</p> <p>We condemn in the strongest terms the attacks of Hezbollah against Israel<br /> which must cease immediately. We also condemn in the strongest terms the<br /> massive Israeli strikes on Lebanon conducted on 8 April which, according to<br /> the latest information shared by the Lebanese authorities, resulted in the<br /> death of more than 350 persons and wounded more than 1000. Civilians and<br /> civilian infrastructure must be protected in accordance with international<br /> humanitarian law.</p> <p>We also condemn in the strongest terms the attacks against UNIFIL and we<br /> reiterate that the safety and security of UN peacekeepers must be ensured at<br /> all times.</p> <p>We express our full solidarity and our steadfast support for the Lebanese<br /> people and authorities. We stand ready to provide emergency assistance to<br /> the more than one million displaced persons in Lebanon, in coordination with<br /> the Lebanese government.</p> <p>We reaffirm the importance of respecting for Lebanon's territorial integrity<br /> and sovereignty and for the full implementation of United Nations Security<br /> Council resolution 1701 (2006). We will continue to support the Lebanese<br /> state to exercise its full sovereignty over the whole Lebanese territory. In<br /> this context, we commend the decision of the Lebanese government to ban<br /> Hezbollah's military activities, as well as its decision to reinforce the<br /> full imposition of state authority over Beirut and to have the sole monopoly<br /> on weapons, and we encourage full and swift implementation.<br /> ________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Wed, 15 Apr 2026 16:51:23 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74437 Moving On - President Trump Abandons Permanent Nuke Ban, Opens Talks With 20-Year Offer https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74436 <p>Moving On - President Trump Abandons Permanent Nuke Ban, Opens Talks With<br /> 20-Year Offer<br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 14 April 2026</p> <p>On Holocaust Remembrance Day, we learned that President Trump had his Vice<br /> President, Vance, offer the Iranians the option to resume nuclear enrichment<br /> in 20 years.</p> <p>The people of Hong Kong are a living reminder that the consequences can be<br /> disastrous when even a 99-year arrangement comes to an end (China took over<br /> on 1 July 1997).</p> <p>Twenty years is the blink of an eye.</p> <p>And 20 years was the opening offer!</p> <p>There is every reason to believe that virtually every person who will rule<br /> Iran when it is allowed to resume enriching uranium is already part of the<br /> ruling regime dedicated to the destruction of the USA and Israel.</p> <p>We Israelis and our Sunni neighbors must make the most of this situation.</p> <p>We are compelled to do everything in our power to be able to contend with<br /> Iran when America not only turns its back on the situation but may even act<br /> to limit our ability to respond, should doing so conflict with what it<br /> considers its interests at that time.</p> <p>This means not only being at the leading edge of military technologies but<br /> also having the industrial base to be U.S. and/or European weapons boycott<br /> proof.</p> <p>To be clear: I am not in any way claiming that President Trump intends to<br /> abandon us.</p> <p>Even our wisest king, Solomon, made mistakes - with disastrous results.</p> <p>Mr. Trump genuinely does not believe he is abandoning us.</p> <p>But we must be realistic.</p> <p>We need to make the most of our relationship with President Trump to<br /> expedite the achievement of true military independence.</p> <p>This goes far beyond financial and manufacturing resources. </p> <p>It requires a significant increase in GDP - one that can only be achieved if<br /> all sectors of our society abandon "poverty by choice."</p> <p>It also means ensuring that this and future generations of Israelis are<br /> provided with the best possible education, so that we have the brainpower to<br /> maintain our critical position at the forefront of military and other<br /> technologies.</p> <p>We have been blessed by a unique - albeit at times painful - combination of<br /> circumstances that provides both the breathing space and a coalition of<br /> Sunni neighbors, making it possible to meet this tremendous challenge.</p> <p>Our future is, indeed, in our hands.</p> <p>[It would be welcome if reports of the 20-year moratorium offer are<br /> ultimately denied. But as of this writing, they have not been.]</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Tue, 14 Apr 2026 10:31:50 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74436 Trump’s 20 year moratorium offer - becomes a Bernard Shaw joke https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74435 <p>Trump’s 20 year moratorium offer - becomes a Bernard Shaw joke <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 14 April 2026 <br /> <br /> President Trump’s offer to postpone an Iranian nuke by twenty years — a gross abandonment of his red line — turns himself into the lady in the George Bernard Shaw joke: <br /> <br /> A well-known society lady was approached by George Bernard Shaw at a party. <br /> <br /> Shaw asked her: <br /> “Madam, would you sleep with me for a million pounds?” <br /> <br /> After a moment’s thought, the lady replied: <br /> “Yes, I suppose I would.” <br /> <br /> Shaw then said: <br /> “Would you sleep with me for ten pounds?” <br /> <br /> The woman was shocked and angrily exclaimed: <br /> “What do you take me for? A prostitute?!” <br /> <br /> Shaw calmly replied: <br /> “Madam, we have already established what you are. Now we are merely haggling over the price.” <br /> _______________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: http://www.imra.org.il</p> Tue, 14 Apr 2026 06:19:28 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74435