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Tuesday, October 17, 2017
An-Najah Poll of Palestinians: Only 20.6% of Gazans want arms situation to continue

From your own point view, what is the most ideal solution for the arms of
resistance?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Collecting all arms and there should be no arms other than the arms of one
authority 36.2%/35.3%/37.8%
Restoring the situation to how it was before the dominance of Hamas over the
Gaza Strip 24.0%/21.8%/27.8%
Leaving the situation as it is now 31.5%/37.8%/20.6%/
No opinion/I do not know 8.3%/5.1%/13.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%
=====================
An-Najah National University
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972) (9) 2345113 Fax: (972)(9) 2345982
Nablus – Palestinian: P.O. Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu hussein596@yahoo.com

Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll
No. 55
12-14 October 2017

The sample included 1862 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who
have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 862
persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample
was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about +/-3%; still 1.8%/% of
the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.


The General Results of the Poll

Do you believe that the Palestinian division is ended once and for all?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 45.0%/44.9%/45.2%
No 44.1%/48.6%/36.4%
No opinion/I do not know 10.9%/6.5%/18.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

How do you assess Dr. Rami Hamdallah and the Palestinian Government’s visit
to the Gaza Strip?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Excellent 27.6%/26.0%/30.4%
Good 44.2%/45.1%/42.6%
Fair 18.6%/18.4%/18.8%
Bad 5.1%/5.2%/4.8%
No opinion/I do not know 4.6%/5.2%/3.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you think that Dr. Rami Hamdallah and the Palestinian Government’s visit
to the Gaza Strip marks the end of the Palestinian division?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 52.7%/54.8%/49.2%
No 35.7%/38.3%/31.2%
No opinion/I do not know 11.6%/7.0%/19.6%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

How do you assess the performance of Prime Minster Dr. Rami Hamdallah in
pushing forward the endeavors for the national reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Excellent 25.0%/24.1%/26.4%
Good 45.2%/44.5%/46.4%
Fair 21.2%/21.2%/21.2%
Bad 4.8%/5.9%/2.8%
No opinion/I do not know 3.8%/4.2%/3.2%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you consider dissolving the Administrative Committee in the Gaza Strip as
the major reason for the Palestinian reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 52.0%/51.6%/52.6%
No 32.1%/32.1%/32.0%
No opinion/I do not know 15.9%/16.2%/15.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that Hamas will win or lose in its popularity among
Palestinian people after concluding the reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
It will win 45.4%/52.8%/32.8%
It will lose 17.0%/14.3%/21.6%
Nothing will change 31.9%/29.0%/37.0%
No opinion/I do not know 5.7%/3.9%/8.6%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that Fateh will win or lose in its popularity among
Palestinian people after concluding the reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
It will win 59.0%/59.6%/58.0%
It will lose 9.8%/9.9%/9.6%
Nothing will change 26.5%/26.9%/25.8%
No opinion/I do not know 4.7%/3.6%/6.6%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you think that the siege on the Gaza Strip will be uplifted after the
visit of the Palestinian Government to the Gaza Strip?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
It will be uplifted completely 14.0%/12.5%/16.4%
It will be partially uplifted 57.5%/55.7%/60.6%
It will remain the same 23.3%/27.4%/16.2%
No opinion/I do not know 5.3%/4.4%/6.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you think that the Palestinian reconciliation would not have happened
without the approval of the USA and Israel and their withholding of the
veto?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 41.3%/38.7%/45.8%
No 36.6%/45.2%/21.8%
No opinion/I do not know 22.0%/16.0%/32.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you think that the pressures and procedures that President Abu Mazen
imposed on the Gaza Strip and the leaders of Hamas contributed to
strengthening the chances of reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 54.8%/52.8%/58.4%
No 32.6%/37.5%/24.2%
No opinion/I do not know 12.6%/9.7%/17.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If the uplifting of the pressures and procedures that President Abu Mazen
imposed on the Gaza Strip is delayed, do you think the delay will influence
the efforts of reconciliation positively or negatively?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
It will influence reconciliation positively 21.2%/20.4%/22.6%
It will influence reconciliation negatively 43.2%/39.1%/50.2%
Nothing will change 28.4%/34.1%/18.6%
No opinion/I do not know 7.2%/6.4%/8.6%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that it is possible to reach a political program that all
Palestinians would agree on?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 64.5%/67.1%/60.0%
No 27.4%/28.4%/25.6%
No opinion/I do not know 8.1%/4.5%/14.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

To what extent do you think that the outside pressures will influence the
achievement of a national reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
They will have a great effect 40.1%/34.8%/49.2%
They will have a minor effect 40.2%/43.4%/34.8%
They will not have any effect 16.7%/19.6%/11.8%
No opinion/I do not know 2.9%/2.2%/4.2%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

To what extent do you think the national reconciliation will influence the
freedom of opinion and expression in Palestine?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
It will have a great effect 30.2%/26.2%/37.2%
It will have a minor effect 44.9%/45.8%/43.2%
It will not have any effect 22.0%/25.6%/15.6%
No opinion/I do not know 2.9%/2.3%/4.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

In your opinion what are the most important obstacles that may stand in the
path of reconciliation?
(Give your opinion on a 0-10 scale)
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Collecting the arms of resistance. 7.7966/7.5905/8.1520
Merging the employees of Hamas in the Palestinian Authority.
6.2974/5.8770/7.0220
The distribution of ministries among factions in the unity government.
6.0198/6.0418/5.9820
The personal interests of some officials of Fateh and Hamas.
6.8231/6.9675/6.5740
The disagreement on the political program. 6.8164/6.9466/6.5920
The dominance over the security apparatuses in the Gaza Strip.
6.7386/6.6543/6.8840
The Israel aggressions against the Gaza Strip. 6.1887/6.5058/5.6420
Outside intrusions. 6.1043/6.2842/5.7940


To what extent do you think the national reconciliation efforts can solve
the following problems of the Gaza Strip?
(Give your opinion on a 0-10 scale)
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Electricity 4.6336/7.4675/7.9200
Merging the Gaza Strip employees in the Palestinian Authority
6.9736/6.8503/7.1860
Opening the border crossings and facilitating free movement.
6.8752/6.3898/7.7120
Ending the siege 5.7952/5.2529/6.7300

In your opinion how would the national reconciliation influence the lives of
people in the Gaza Strip?
(Give your opinion on a 0-10 scale)
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Improving the living conditions 7.1674/6.7425/7.9000
Peace and security 6.5984/6.3260/7.0680
Freedom of expression 5.9758/5.8225/6.2400
The environment 5.7386/5.7146/5.7800
Creating job opportunities 6.4361/6.1090/7.0000
Education 6.8686/6.8863/6.8380
The health sector 6.6512/6.7100/6.5500
Freedom of movement 6.1968/5.8051/6.8720

Who in your opinion bears the responsibility of the Palestinian division for
more than ten years?
(Give your opinion on a 0-10 scale)
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Fateh 6.5764/6.9710/5.8960
Hamas 7.5081/7.1729/8.0860
The stand of the Americans and Israelis who benefit from the division
8.1703/8.4536/7.6820
The leftist and liberal powers 4.5257 4.5731 4.4440
The weak popular pressure on the two sides of the division
6.1527/6.0394/6.3480
Personalities from Fateh and Hamas. 7.1527/7.6937/7.1920

Do you support or reject the accession of Hamas and Islamic Jihad to the
Palestinian Liberation Organization?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
I support 74.8%/81.8%/62.8%
I reject 17.8%/13.3%/25.4%
No opinion/I do not know 7.4%/4.9%/11.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that Fateh is faithful in its intentions towards the national
reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 65.5%/62.9%/70.0%
No 22.3%/27.1%/15.2%
No opinion/I do not know 11.7%/10.0%/14.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that Hamas is faithful in its intentions towards the national
reconciliation?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 60.8%/61.0%/60.4%
No 26.1%/28.5%/21.8%
No opinion/I do not know 13.1%/10.4%/17.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that the officials in Fateh believe in democracy and the
rotation of power?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 49.3%/48.3%/51.2%
No 37.9%/43.3%/28.6%
No opinion/I do not know 12.8%/8.5%/20.2%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that the officials in Hamas believe in democracy and the
rotation of power?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 39.8%/43.6%/33.2%
No 44.9%/45.8%/43.4%
No opinion/I do not know 15.3%/10.6%/23.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%
In your opinion what are the most important obstacles that may stand in the
path of reconciliation?
(Give your opinion on a 0-10 scale)
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Collecting the arms of resistance. 7.7966/7.5905/8.1520

From your own point view, what is the most ideal solution for the arms of
resistance?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Collecting all arms and there should be no arms other than the arms of one
authority 36.2%/35.3%/37.8%
Restoring the situation to how it was before the dominance of Hamas over the
Gaza Strip 24.0%/21.8%/27.8%
Leaving the situation as it is now 31.5%/37.8%/20.6%/
No opinion/I do not know 8.3%/5.1%/13.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

In your point of view, what is the best political program for the national
unity government?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
The PLO program 15.2%/12.3%/20.2%
Hamas program 3.7%/2.8%/5.2%
A program that will be nationally acceptable to all the PLO factions, Hamas
and the Islamic Jihad 76.5%/81.7%/67.6%
No opinion/I do not know 4.6%/3.2%/7.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that after heading towards national reconciliation, the West
Bank and the Gaza Strip will witness presidential and legislative elections?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 78.4%/80.6%/74.6%
No 13.5%/13.2%/14.0%
No opinion/I do not know 8.1%/6.1%/11.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you expect the United States to intervene and pressure some parties to
return to negotiations and make negotiations succeed?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 63.3%/66.7%/57.4%
No 27.2%/29.6%/23.2%
No opinion/I do not know 9.5%/3.7%/19.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If the answer to the above question is “yes” on which side do you expect the
USA to exert pressure?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
The Palestinian side 47.1%/53.2%/34.8%
The Israeli side 10.3%/8.5%/13.8%
Both sides 40.5%/37.5%/46.6%
No opinion/I do not know 2.1%/0.7%/4.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you think that the USA is serious this time in its endeavors to bring the
peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis to a successful
end?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 28.9%/29.4%/28.0%
No 60.6%/66.6%/50.2%
No opinion/I do not know 10.6%/4.1%/21.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you believe that the USA has a prepared plan for peace between the
Palestinians and the Israelis?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 30.9%/31.4%/30.0%
No 57.3%/63.1%/47.2%
No opinion/I do not know 11.8%/5.5%/22.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you support or reject providing international protection for the
Palestinian people who have been under occupation since 1967
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
I support 62.4%/59.9%/66.8%
I reject 32.0%/38.3%/21.2%
No opinion/I do not know 5.6%/1.9%/12.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you support or reject the rise of an unarmed peaceful intifada in the
Palestinian Territories?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
I support 46.6%/48.0%/44.2%
I reject 46.5%/49.3%/41.6%
No opinion/I do not know 6.9%/2.7%/14.2%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you support or reject the rise of an armed intifada in the Palestinian
territories?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
I support 31.8%/27.4%/39.4%
I reject 60.6%/70.0%/44.6%
No opinion/I do not know 7.6%/2.7%/16.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

From your point of view at the present time, which of the following forms of
resistance will serve the Palestinian cause best?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
An unarmed peaceful intifada 23.1%/24.2%/21.2%
An armed intifada 16.7%/15.5%/18.8%
Both forms are useful 20.8%/15.7%/29.6%
Both forms are useless 32.5%/41.2%/17.6%
No opinion/I do not know 6.8%/3.4%/12.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Under the current circumstances, do you think that there is an opportunity
for the creation of a Palestinian state on the 1967 borders?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 43.4%/48.3%/35.0%
No 45.9%/48.8%/40.8%
No opinion/I do not know 10.7%/2.9%/24.2%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you support or reject the creation of a Palestinian state on the 1967
borders as a final solution for the Palestinian cause?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 45.5%/44.8%/46.8%
No 47.0%/52.7%/37.2%
No opinion/I do not know 7.5%/2.6%/16.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you support or reject the creation of a Palestinian state on the 1967
borders with some land exchange as a final solution for the Palestinian
cause?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 26.4%/26.2%/26.8%
No 65.9%/71.7%/55.8%
No opinion/I do not know 7.7%/2.1%/17.4%/
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do you support or reject the creation of a binational state for both Arabs
and Jews as a final solution for the Palestinian cause?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 25.4%/28.2%/20.6%
No 67.3%/68.9%/64.6%
No opinion/I do not know 7.3%/2.9%/14.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

How do you assess the performance of the National Unity Government?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Excellent 15.1%/12.8%/19.0%
Good 60.0%/61.5%/57.4%
Poor 17.0%/18.3%/14.6%
No opinion/I do not know 8.0%/7.4%/9.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If elections are to be conducted in the Palestinian Territories at the
present time, do you think they will be fair?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 51.0%/46.8%/58.4%
No 34.6%/42.7%/20.6%
No opinion/I do not know 14.4%/10.6%/21.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If presidential elections are held at the present time, to whom from among
the following do you give your vote?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
An independent candidate 9.3%/9.6%/8.8%
A candidate from the left 3.2%/3.0%/3.6%
A candidate from Hamas 10.4%/11.9%/7.6%
A candidate from Fateh 34.9%/31.4%/40.8%
A national independent candidate 5.1%/4.2%/6.6%
An Islamic independent candidate 1.4%/0.9%/2.2%
I will not participate in the elections 15.9%/19.5%/9.6%
I have not decided yet 19.9%/19.4%/20.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If new PLC elections are conducted, who do you vote for?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
An independent ticket 8.9%/8.5%/9.6%
A ticket from the left 3.2%/3.0%/3.4%
A ticket from Hamas 10.1%/11.7%/7.2%
A ticket from Fateh 34.2%/30.2%/41.2%
A national independent ticket 5.2%/4.4%/6.6%
An Islamic independent ticket 1.7%/1.3%/2.4%
I will not participate in the elections 17.8%/21.9%/10.6%
I have not decided yet 19.0%/19.0%/19.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If new legislative elections are to be held today, which of the following
will win?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
An independent Islamists bloc 3.2%/2.9%/3.6%
An independent Nationalist bloc 10.0%/8.7%/12.2%
A Fateh bloc 43.9%/41.5%/48.0%
A Hamas bloc 13.1%/16.4%/7.4%
A bloc from leftist organizations 2.7%/2.7%/2.8%
No opinion/I do not know 27.2%/27.8%/26.0%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

If municipality and local council elections are to be held, who do
you vote for?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
A block that represents the family or clan 12.6%/18.6%/2.6%
An independent ticket 7.3%/6.7%/8.2%
A ticket from the left 3.0%/2.9%/3.2%
A ticket from Hamas 8.2%/8.6%/7.4%
A ticket from Fateh 30.5%/25.2%/39.2%
A national independent ticket 5.2%/2.9%/9.0%
An Islamic independent ticket 2.2%/1.4%/3.4%
I will not participate in the elections 14.1%/15.1%/12.4%
I have not decided yet 17.0%/18.5%/14.6%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Do the current political, security and economic circumstances compel you
to desire to emigrate abroad?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 31.1%/24.1%/43.2%
No 65.3%/74.8%/49.0%
No opinion/I do not know 3.5%/1.0%/7.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 43.2%/39.1%/50.2%
No 54.4%/60.2%/44.4%
No opinion/I do not know 2.4%/0.7%/5.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation
at this stage?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Optimistic 58.7%/56.5%/62.6%
Pessimistic 34.5%/40.8%/23.6%
No opinion/I do not know 6.8%/2.7%/13.8%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and your
properties are safe?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 24.1%/24.9%/22.6%
Maybe 46.4%/41.6%/54.6%
No 27.8%/32.7%/19.2%
No opinion/I do not know 1.8%/0.7%/3.6%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

Which of the following political affiliations do you support?
PARTY Total West Bank Gaza Strip
People’s Party 1.8%/0.7%/3.6%
Democratic Front 0.7%/0.7%/0.6%
Islamic Jihad 1.0%/0.5%/1.8%
Fateh 37.9%/34.3%/44.0%
Hamas 10.9%/12.1%/8.8%
Fida 0.4%/0.2%/0.6%
Popular Front 2.1%/1.6%/3.0%
Palestinian National Initiative 1.7%/0.8%/3.2%
An independent nationalist 7.1%/7.8%/6.0%
An independent Islamist 1.7%/1.7%/1.6%
None of the above 32.6%/39.1%/21.4%
Others 2.3%/0.5%/5.4%
Total 100.0%/100.0%/100.0%

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