Palestinian Poll: 9.1% hand over weapons, 57.3% oppose ending armed
intifada, 56.2% oppose ending incitement
PCPO Poll no. 112 Date: 30 Jun 2003
A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and
prepared by President Dr. Nabil Kukali.
(64.4%) Support to varying degrees the President Arafat
(41.4%) Support, to varying degrees Mahmoud
Abbas "Abu Mazen" as a Palestinian Prime Minister.
(44.9%) support the continuation of the Intifada, while
(37.0%) call for a halt.
(65.4%) Pessimistic from the results of Al-Aqaba and Sharm Al-Sheikh
Summits regarding the future of the just peace between the
Palestinians and Israelis
Majd Kokaly-Information Department:
A poll recently conducted by the PCPO and prepared by Dr.Nabil Kukali
included a random sample of 723 adults, 18 years and older, from Gaza Strip
and West Bank including East Jerusalem.
President of the PCPO, Dr. Nabil Kukali, stated that the poll took place on
June 18-24, 2003 and the average age of the respondents was 31.6 years, and
the margin of error was 3.6+/- percent points.
Kukali also stated that the percentage of female respondents was 48.9%,
while that of the male ones was 51.1%. He also explained that the respondent
's location of residence was as follows: 54.5% city, 26.5% village, and
19.0% refugee camp. He pointed out to the average size of respondents'
families that was 7.1 persons, and the average number of schooling years was
12.07 years.
Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:
1.If the Palestinian Authority orders "Fatah Tanzim" and other organizations
indirectly linked to the PA's security services to hand over their weapons
for confiscation or destruction. What do you believe that "Fatah Tanzim" and
other organization should do?
20 Nov 2002/23 Apr 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Hand over their weapons for confiscation and Destruction 18.7%/19.6%/9.1%
2. Hide their weapons 48.6%/46.5%/49.2%
3. Do nothing 32.7%/33.9%/41.7%
2. If municipality or village council elections being held today, which
political party would you vote for?
1. People's Party 1.1%
2. Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) 5.1%
3. Fatah 30.0%
4. Hamas 20.2%
5. Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP) 3.2%
6. Islamic Jihad 7.6%
7. Fida 2.6%
8. Popular Struggle (Nidal) Front 1.0%
9. Independents 11.0%
10. None of the above/15.0%
11. Other 3.2%
3. When asked:' to what degree do you support president Arafat"?
9 Jan 2003/27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Strongly support 17.3%/24.8%/31.7%
2. Somewhat Support 26.7%/28.5%/32.7%
3. Somewhat oppose 25.7%/27.9%/22.3%
4. Strongly oppose 29.8%/16.4%/7.2%
5. No Opinion 0.4%/2.4%/6.1%
4. How likely is it that peace will prevail with Israel in the near future?
20 Nov 2002/27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
A great possibility 8.4%/9.8%/7.2%
Possible 20.5%/41.5%/37.1%
Some what impossible 19.5%/15.9%/20.4%
Totally impossible 33.5%/20.0%/22.6%
I don't know/I refuse to answer 18.1%/12.8%/12.7%
5.Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly
oppose the current Israeli - Palestinian security coordination?
9 Jan 2003/27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Strongly support 10.8%/4.1%/10.4%
2. Somewhat support 31.4%/28.7%/31.0%
3. Somewhat oppose 14.7%/22.7%/13.8%
4. Strongly oppose 25.9%/31.2%/30.7%
5. No opinion 17.2%/13.3%/14.1%
6. Are you Optimistic or Pessimistic from the results of Al-Aqaba and Sharm
Al-Sheikh Summits regarding the future of the just peace between the
Palestinians and Israelis?
30 Jun 2003
1. Pessimistic 65.4%
2. Optimistic 20.3%
3. Do not know 14.3%
7. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly
oppose the notion that says that the political process (i.e. peace process)
is the best thing we can get under current conditions (i.e. international
changes):
9 Jan 2003/27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Strongly support 14.1%/17.0%/15.9%
2. Somewhat support 34.9%/36.8%/32.4%
3. Somewhat oppose 18.7%/17.5%/15.1%
4. Strongly oppose 20.2%/15.0%/17.2%
5. Do not know 12.1%/13.7%/19.4%
8. Some people in the West Bank and Gaza Strip support the continuation of
the Intifada, while others call for a halt to it which of these two opinions
is closer to yours?
9 Jan 2003/27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Continuation of the Intifada 46.9%/34.3%/44.9%
2. Halting the Intifada 40.9%/51.6%/37.0%
3. Do not know / refuse to answer 12.2%/14.1%/18.1%
9.Do you think that there is a Palestinian leader other than Yaser Arafat
who is able to sign a peace treaty with the Israelis at present, or not?
12 Nov 2002/27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
Yes 26.6%/33.3%/19.7%
No 45.5%/33.8%/53.5%
I don't know 27.8%/32.8%/26.8%
10. Please, express the extent of your support to appointing Mr. Mahmoud
Abbas "Abu Mazen " as a Palestinian Prime Minister?
27 Mar 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Strongly agree 16.0%/6.1%
2. Somewhat agree 26.2%/35.3%
3. Somewhat disagree 20.5%/17.2%
4. Strongly disagree 21.2%/29.2%
5. No Opinion 16.1%/12.2%
11. Do you believe or not believe that if the Israeli government's taking
serious and sincere measures to lift the siege and security belt on the
Palestinian territories will alleviate violence?
20 November 200/29 January 2003/30 Jun 2003
1. Yes 28.7%/26.8%/29.9%
2. To some extent 35.8%/34.0%/43.2%
3. No 25.8%/32.4%/17.6%
4. Do not know 9.7%/6.8%/9.3%
12. To which extent do you agree or disagree the statement that " The start
of serious and sincere negotiations between the Palestinians and Israeli
leaderships will bring peace to the region"?
30 Jun 2003
1. Strongly agree 13.9%
2. Somewhat agree 37.0%
3. Somewhat disagree 23.7%
4. Strongly disagree 13.9%
5. No Opinion11.5%
13. The Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas "Abu Mazen" called for a
halt of the suicide attacks against the Israeli civilians to give a chance
for resuming the negotiations with the Israelis. Do you support or oppose
this call?
30 Jun 2003
1. Strongly support 15.4%
2. Somewhat support 26.1%
3. Somewhat oppose 20.6%
4. Strongly oppose 28.2%
5. Do not know 9.7%
14. Abu Mazen mentioned in his speech at Al-Aqaba summit held on June4, 2003
that "We shall exert all efforts and employ all our possibilities to bring
the armed Intifada to an end. We have to employ the peaceful means to end
the occupation and the suffering of the Palestinians and the Israelis and to
build up the Palestinian State". Do you support or Oppose this quotation?
30 Jun 2003
1. Support 24.6%
2. Oppose 57.3%
3. Do not know 18.1%
15. "Abu Mazen" mentioned in his speech: " We shall work against any form of
instigation to violence and hatred, and by whatever means such instigation
may be. We shall carry out measures from our side to warrant that no any
such instigation will arise from the Palestinian institutions". Do you
support or oppose this quotation? ?
30 Jun 2003
1. Support 24.1%
2. Oppose 56.2%
3. Do not know 19.7%
16. How do you in general evaluate the performance of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas "
Abu Mazen" at Al-Aqaba Summit, which has been attended by King Abdullah,
President George Bosh and the Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon?
30 Jun 2003
1. Good 8.4%
4. Fair 31.6%
5. Bad 51.9%
6. Do not know 8.1%
Contact Person
Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846 , Fax: 02 277 4892
Mobile: 067 216643
Email: kukali@p-ol.com
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