Baker wants Israel excluded from regional conference
Insight Magazine Dec. 5-11, 2006, Posted On: 12/5/2006
www.insightmag.com/Media/MediaManager/Baker_1.htm

The White House has been examining a proposal by James Baker to launch a
Middle East peace effort without Israel.

The peace effort would begin with a U.S.-organized conference, dubbed
Madrid-2, and contain such U.S. adversaries as Iran and Syria. Officials
said Madrid-2 would be promoted as a forum to discuss Iraq's future, but
actually focus on Arab demands for Israel to withdraw from territories
captured in the 1967 war. They said Israel would not be invited to the
conference.

"As Baker sees this, the conference would provide a unique opportunity for
the United States to strike a deal without Jewish pressure," an official
said. "This has become the most hottest proposal examined by the foreign
policy people over the last month."

Officials said Mr. Baker's proposal, reflected in the recommendations of the
Iraq Study Group, has been supported by Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice,
Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns and National Intelligence Director
John Negroponte. The most controversial element in the proposal, they said,
was Mr. Baker's recommendation for the United States to woo Iran and Syria.

"Here is Syria, which is clearly putting pressure on the Lebanese democracy,
is a supporter of terror, is both provisioning and supporting Hezbollah and
facilitating Iran in its efforts to support Hezbollah, is supporting the
activities of Hamas," National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley told a
briefing last week. "This is not a Syria that is on an agenda to bring peace
and stability to the region."

Officials said the Baker proposal to exclude Israel from a Middle East peace
conference garnered support in the wake of Vice President Dick Cheney's
visit to Saudi Arabia on Nov. 25. They said Mr. Cheney spent most of his
meetings listening to Saudi warnings that Israel, rather than Iran, is the
leading cause of instability in the Middle East.

"He [Cheney] didn't even get the opportunity to seriously discuss the
purpose of his visit-that the Saudis help the Iraqi government and persuade
the Sunnis to stop their attacks," another official familiar with Mr. Cheney's
visit said. "Instead, the Saudis kept saying that they wanted a U.S.
initiative to stop the Israelis' attack in Gaza and Cheney just agreed."

Under the Baker proposal, the Bush administration would arrange a Middle
East conference that would discuss the future of Iraq and other Middle East
issues. Officials said the conference would seek to win Arab support on Iraq
in exchange for a U.S. pledge to renew efforts to press Israel to withdraw
from the West Bank and Golan Heights.

"Baker sees his plan as containing something for everybody, except perhaps
the Israelis," the official said. "The Syrians would get back the Golan, the
Iranians would get U.S. recognition and the Saudis would regain their
influence, particularly with the Palestinians."

Officials said Mr. Baker's influence within the administration and the
Republican Party's leadership stems from support by the president's father
as well as former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. Throughout the current
Bush administration, such senior officials as Mr. Hadley and Ms. Rice were
said to have been consulting with Brent Scowcroft, the former president's
national security advisor, regarded as close to Mr. Baker.

"Everybody has fallen in line," the official said. "Bush is not in the daily
loop. He is shocked by the elections and he's hoping for a miracle on Iraq."

For his part, Mr. Bush has expressed unease in negotiating with Iran. At a
Nov. 30 news conference in Amman, Jordan, the president cited Iran's
interference in the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al Maliki.

"We respect their heritage, we respect their history, we respect their
traditions," Mr. Bush said. "I just have a problem with a government that is
isolating its people, denying its people benefits that could be had from
engagement with the world."

Mr. Baker's recommendation to woo Iran and Syria has also received support
from some in the conservative wing of the GOP. Over the last week, former
and current Republican leaders in Congress-convinced of the need for a U.S.
withdrawal before the 2008 presidential elections-have called for Iranian
and Syrian participation in an effort to stabilize Iraq.

"I would look at an entirely new strategy," former House Speaker Newt
Gingrich said. "We have clearly failed in the last three years to achieve
the kind of outcome we want."

In contrast, Defense Department officials have warned against granting a
role to Iran and Syria at Israel's expense. They said such a strategy would
also end up undermining Arab allies of the United States such as Egypt,
Jordan and Morocco.

"The regional strategy is a euphemism for throwing Free Iraq to the wolves
in its neighborhood: Iran, Syria and Saudi Arabia," said the Center for
Security Policy, regarded as being close to the Pentagon. "If the Baker
regional strategy is adopted, we will prove to all the world that it is
better to be America's enemy than its friend. Jim Baker's hostility towards
the Jews is a matter of record and has endeared him to Israel's foes in the
region."

But Defense Secretary-designate Robert Gates, a former colleague of Mr.
Baker on the Iraq Study Group, has expressed support for U.S. negotiations
with Iran and Syria. In response to questions from the Senate Armed Services
Committee, which begins confirmation hearings this week, Mr. Gates compared
the two U.S. adversaries to the Soviet Union.

"Even in the worst days of the Cold War, the U.S. maintained a dialogue with
the Soviet Union and China, and I believe those channels of communication
helped us manage many potentially difficult situations," Mr. Gates said.
"Our engagement with Syria need not be unilateral. It could, for instance,
take the form of Syrian participation in a regional conference."