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Saturday, January 5, 2008
NEC poll of Palestinians: 34% would like to emigrate (40% of Fateh supporters)

Data presented below derived from PDF file circulated by NEC]

NEC's monthly bulletin on Palestinian perceptions towards politics and
economics
Bulletin # II-12 December 2007
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
Please contact:
Jamil Rabah Near East Consulting
HSBC Building, 3rd floor
RAMALLAH
Tel: 02-2961436 Fax: 02-2963114
info@neareastconsulting.com www.neareastconsulting.com

The survey was carried out between the 20th and 23rd of December 2007. 959
Palestinians from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, all over the age of 18,
were interviewed by phone.

Readers who wish to analyze the results in greater depth can do so through
the NEC's website:
www.neareastconsulting.com

The margin of error for the entire sample is +/-3.16.

Figure 1: Level of concern about the current situation
Extremely concerned 41% Concerned to some extent 44%
Not very concerned 9% Not concerned at all 5%

Figure 2: Main issue that makes you feel concerned other than the Israeli
occupation
The economic hardship of my household 29%
The absence of security for me and my family 19%
The internal power struggle 27%
The Israeli occupation 9%
Family problems 3%
I have no concerns 13%

Figure 3: Feeling of security with respect to yourself family and property
I feel secure 51% I do not feel secure 49%

Figure 5: Level of support for the security plan by the caretaker government
and the collection of weapons
Support 83% Oppose 17%

Figure 6: Level of depression
Extremely depressed 46% Depressed 34%
In between 7%
Not depressed 10% Not depressed at all 3%

Figure 8: Level of optimism about the future
Very optimistic 10% Optimistic 56%
Pessimistic 25% Very Pessimistic 9%

Figure 9: Perception about whether new aid to the Palestinians will be
managed properly
Yes 59% No 41%

Figure 10: Purpose of pledges to the Palestinians
To help build a Palestinian state 54%
To weaken Hamas 46%

Figure 11: Attitude to whether pledges will help the Palestinian economy
It will make a difference 70%
It will not make a difference 30%

Figure 12: Employment of the labor force
Fully employed 69% Partially employed 12% Unemployed 18%

Figure 14: Would you like to emigrate?
Yes 34% No 66%
Fateh suporters: Yes 40% No 60%
Hamas supporters: Yes 29% No 71%
West Bank: Yes 28% No 72%
Gaza Strip: Yes 44% No 56%

Figure 15: Has any household member emigrated abroad in the past year?
Yes 20% No 80%

Figure 16: Has any household member moved to another area in the oPt?
Yes 15% No 85%
(47% of them were to Ramallah)

Figure 17: Reason for emigration of the household member
Employment 41% Education 23%
Search for a better life 23% Search for a safer environment 10%
Others 5%
Table 16: Factional trust, according to region of residence

West Bank Fateh 34% Hamas 12% PFLP 3% Islamic Jihad 2%
Others 3% I trust no faction 47%

Gaza Strip Fateh 44% Hamas 19% PFLP 2% Islamic Jihad 5%
Others 4% I trust no faction 27%

Table 17: Trust in Abu Mazen vs. trust in Ismael Hanieh according toregion
Region
West Bank Abu Mazen 78% Ismael Hanieh 22%
Gaza Strip Abu Mazen 70% Ismael Hanieh 30%

Figure 21: Most trusted Palestinian personality
Mahmoud Abbas 35% Ismael Hanieh 15%
Marwan Barghouti 13% Khaled Mashaal 4%
Mohammad Dahlan 1% Mahmoud Zahhar 1%
Salam Fayyad 7% Mustafa Barghouti 5%
Others 1% I trust no one of the above 19%

.
Figure 22: Whose strategy works better for the Palestinian national
interest.?
The strategy of Fateh 74% The strategy of Hamas 26%

Figure 23: Has Hamas' role in Palestinian politics been constructive or
detrimental?
It has been constructive 54%
It has been detrimental 46%

Table 22: Support or opposition to a peace settlement with Israel according
to region
Factional trust Region
West Bank Support 70% Oppose 30%
Gaza Strip Support 73% Oppose 27%

Table 23: Perceptions about Hamas' position towards the elimination of
Israel, according to region
West Bank
Hamas should maintain its position 35%
Hamas should change its position 65%

Gaza Strip
Hamas should maintain its position 39%
Hamas should change its position 61%

Figure 26: Attitude about whether there are peace partners in Palestine and
in Israel
Attitude about whether Palestinians have a peace partner in Israel
Yes 41% No 59%
Attitude about whether Israelis have a peace partner in Palestine
Yes 79% No 21%

Figure 27: Which final status issue should be resolved first?
Jerusalem 55% The refugees 19% Settlements 10% Borders 12% Water 3%

Figure 28: Which is the legitimate government in the oPt?
Caretaker government of Salam Fayyad 53%
Hamas-led Hanieh government 22% Neither 25%

Table 28: Feeling of security after the formation of a caretaker government,
according region
West Bank
I feel more secure 49% I feel less secure 10% Feeling of security remained
the same 41%
Gaza Strip
I feel more secure 35% I feel less secure 15% Feeling of security remained
the same 50%

Figure 31: Evaluating the caretaker government's attitude vis-à-vis the West
Bank and the Gaza Strip
Cares more about the West Bank 70% Cares more about the Gaza Strip 6%
Cares about both equally 24%

Figure 32: Evaluating the Hanieh government's attitude vis-à-vis the West
Bank and the Gaza Strip
Cares more about the West Bank 6% Cares more about the Gaza Strip 84%
Cares about both equally 10%

Table 33: Evaluation of Fayyad's government in improving law & order
West Bank Negative 19% Neutral 17% Positive 64%
Gaza Strip Negative 29% Neutral 17% Positive 54%

Table 35: Evaluation of Fayyad's government in combating corruption
West Bank
Negative 31%Neutral 18% Positive 51%
Gaza Strip
Negative 36% Neutral 16% Positive 48%

Table 36: Evaluation of the Hanieh government in combating corruption
West Bank
Negative 33% Neutral 0% Positive 67%
Gaza Strip
Negative 39% Neutral 11% Positive 50%

Table 38: Evaluation of the Hanieh government in bringing Palestine closer
to independence
West Bank Negative 100%
Gaza Strip Negative 62% Neutral 12% Positive 27%

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