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Friday, February 6, 2009
7 Polls published Thurs/Friday: Likud ahead of Kadima 1-4 seats - Israelis agree "no citizenship without loyalty" 69.1%:28.9%

7 Polls published Thurs/Friday : Likud ahead of Kadima 1-4 seats - Israelis
agree "no citizenship without loyalty" 69.1%:28.9%
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 5 February 2009

Poll #1A Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,000 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dahaf 4-5 February for
Yediot Ahronot and published on 6 February.- results without allocating
undecided according to analysis.

Poll #1B Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,000 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dahaf 4-5 February for
Yediot Ahronot and published on 6 February.- results after allocating
undecided according to analysis.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,000 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by TNS Teleseker 4-5 February for
Maariv and published on 6 February.- results after allocating undecided
according to analysis.

Poll #3 Limited to 100% certain voting + allocation of the undecided in
accordance with their leanings. Telephone poll of a representative sample
of 582 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot
Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz 4-5 February for Makor
Rishon

Poll #4 Panels internet poll of 1,498 internet participants for Channel 2 on
5 February

Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,000 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dialog 4 February for
Haaretz and published on 6 February.- results after allocating the 29%
undecided.

Poll #6 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 645 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Smith Institute 4 February for
The Jerusalem Post and published on 6 February.- results after allocating
the undecided.

Poll #7 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Geocartography 4 February for
Globes and published on 5 February.

Poll #8 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's
Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) 4 February 2009. .

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

1A 1B #2 #3 #4 #5 #6.. #7.. #8
21 23 23 24 25 25 23.0 22.5 21 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
15 16 17 13 14 14 15.5 15.5 16 [19] Labor
24 25 26 27 26 27 26.0 26.0 25 [12] Likud
09 10 10 10 10 09 10.0 10.0 11 [12] Shas
17 19 19 18 18 18 17.5 20.5 16 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
02 03 03 03 03 02 03.5 02.0 04 [03] "Jewish Home" (previously NRP)
05 06 05 06 05 06 05.0 05.0 07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
05 05 06 05 06 07 05.5 05.0 05 [05] Meretz
00 00 00 01 00 00 00.0 00.0 00 [00] Green Party
00 00 02 01 00 00 00.0 00.0 02 [07] Retirees Party
08 09 10 09 09 08 10.0 08.0 09 [10] Arab parties
00 00 00 01 00 00 00.0 00.0 00 [00] Meimad
00 00 00 00 00 00 00.0 00.0 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
04 04 03 02 04 04 03.5 06.0 04 [06] National Union (reconstituted)
00 00 00 00 00 00 00.0 00.0 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize marijuana)
10 Undecided
* 1 seat is not enough to get into the Knesset as need 2% of valid votes.
** 24.5 = 24-25, 8.5 = 8-9

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,000 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by TNS Teleseker 4-5 February for
Maariv and published on 6 February:

To what extent are the following appropriate to be prime minister:
Yes 54.1% No 44.9% Netanyahu
Yes 49.6% No 48.4% Livni
Yes 35.8% No 62.3% Barak
Yes 21.9% No 75.8% Lieberman

If the Likud wins and Netanyahu forms the government what coalition would
you prefer?
53.7% National unity - Likud, Kadima, Labor
17.2% Likud, Shas, Lieberman
11.4% Likud, Kadima, Religious
06.6% Likud, Labor, Religious
11.1% Other replies

Should Ehud Barak announce that he and the Labor Party won't with Lieberman
in a coalition?
Total: Yes 37.4% No 49.8% Other 12.8%

Do you agree with Defense Minister Barak that Livni talks too much about
security matters?
Yes 33.7% No 61.3%

Lieberman used the slogan "no citizenship without loyalty" relating to
Israeli Arabs. Do you agree?
Yes 69.1% No 28.9%

Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,000 adult Israelis
(including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dialog 4 February for
Haaretz and published on 6 February.
Will you vote in the elections? Certain/Think yes 87% Certain/think no 10%
Don't know 2%

Who would you prefer to be prime minister?
Netanyahu 30% Livni 23% Barak 10%
Who do you think will be prime minister?
Netanyahu 64% Livni 12% Barak 5%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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