Results of an Opinion Poll
Publication Date: 2 February 2011
Field work: 19-20 January 2011
Sample Size: 1200 Palestinians in the West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: + 3 %
Arab World for Research & Development
Ramallah – Gaza, Palestine
Tele-fax: 00970-2-2950957/8
E-mail: awrad@awrad.org
Website: www.awrad.org
http://www.awrad.org/pdfs/tables-%20enghlish%20jan2011.pdf
Section I – Peace Process
1. In your opinion, which one of the following is the best means to end
the occupation and establish a Palestinian state?
Negotiations to reach an agreement between the two parties 33.8%
An international conference that imposes a settlement on all parties
16.5%
A non-violent popular uprising 20.9%
Violence 22.2%
Other 4.7%
Don't know 1.9%
On what conditions should the Palestinian leadership resume peace
negotiations with Israel
A total freeze of settlement construction 74.5%
A partial freeze of settlement construction 5.7%
No conditions 10.2%
Other 6.4%
Don’t know 3.3%
3. Do you think that the results of the U.S. congressional elections would
affect the peace process?
It will help the process 13.4%
It will hurt the process 20.3%
It doesn’t matter 58.8%
Don’t know 7.6%
4. Do you think that the PNA should directly address the UN council to
declare a Palestinian state?
Yes 72.5%
No 21.5%
Don’t know 6.0%
5. Do you think that the PNA should directly address the UN council to
pursue a freeze of the
Israeli settlements?
Yes 82.8%
No 13.7%
Don’t know 3.6%
6. Of the following countries/organizations, whose recognition of a
Palestinian state would be most likely to affect a change in Israeli policy
toward settlements and final status issues?
United States 58.0%
European Union 23.1%
Russia 14.6%
Arab League 12.8%
Iran 8.4%
Brazil 1.5%
Argentina 1.1%
Pakistan 0.8%
Japan 0.8%
India 0.4%
Other 6.1%
Don’t know 5.3%
7. What, in your opinion, is the single greatest obstacle to the peace
process? (Open ended - Top
five answers)
Israeli occupation 31.3%
Internal division 21.5%
Settlements 12.9%
The non-existence of an Israeli partner 5.3%
The United States 3.2%
Others 25.8%
Part II – Internal Politics
8. How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in fighting
corruption?
West Bank
Strong 28.9%
Neutral 35.5%
Weak 30.9%
Don't know 4.7%
8. How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in fighting
corruption?
Gaza
Strong 40.2%
Neutral 25.1%
Weak 33.8%
Don't know 0.9%
9. How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in improving
security?
West Bank
Strong 35.7%
Neutral 34.7%
Weak 26.1%
Don't know 3.5%
9. How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in improving
security?
Gaza
Strong 42.4%
Neutral 25.1%
Weak 31.8%
Don't know 0.7%
10. How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in providing public services, such as health care, road repair,
education, transportation, etc.?
West Bank
Strong 40.9%
Neutral 37.2%
Weak 18.8%
Don't know 3.1%
10. How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in providing public services, such as health care, road repair,
education, transportation, etc.?
Gaza
Strong 26.9%
Neutral 29.3%
Weak 43.1%
Don't know 0.7%
11. Do you believe elections (municipal, legislative, Presidential) should
be immediately rescheduled and held as soon as possible?
Yes 78.7%
No 16.4%
Don't know 4.9%
12. Will you vote in the next national elections?
Yes 71.2%
No 23.8%
Don't know 5.1%
13. If PLC elections were held today, who would you vote for?
Fatah 35.1%
Hamas 14.4%
PFLP 4.5%
An Independent party led by Salam Fayyad 3.6%
Al Mubadara 3.4%
PPP 1.4%
Islamic Jihad 1.4%
DFLP 1.0%
Hizb Tahreer 0.7%
Popular Struggle 0.3%
Feda 0.2%
Other 6.9%
Undecided 27.2%
14. In your opinion, when should local elections be held?
As soon as possible 43.8%
In six months 6.8%
As soon as Fatah and Hamas have reconciled 40.1%
Elections should remain on hold 5.8%
Don't know 3.7%
15. In your opinion, when should Presidential elections be held?
As soon as possible 45.3%
In six months 5.4%
As soon as Fatah and Hamas have reconciled 40.1%
Elections should remain on hold 6.1%
Don't know 3.2%
16. In your opinion, when should PLC elections be held?
As soon as possible 42.8%
In six months 6.1%
As soon as Fatah and Hamas have reconciled 42.2%
Elections should remain on hold 5.4%
17. Should local and national (e.g. PLC and Presidential) elections be held
at the same time or at separate times?
Same time 33.3%
Different times 40.8%
Doesn't matter 21.0%
Don't know 4.9%
18. If presidential elections were held today, who would you vote for?
Mahmoud Abbas 21.7%
Mustafa Barghouthi 11.1%
Salam Fayyad 12.6%
Ismail Haniyeh 12.6%
Khaled Meshal 3.7%
Mahmoud Zahhar 1.4%
Mohammad Dahlan 3.8%
Other 14.9%
Undecided 18.3%
19. In general, how do you rate the overall performance of President Mahmoud
Abbas?
Good 29.3%
Neutral 33.6%
Poor 34.5%
Don't know 2.7%
20. In general, how do you rate the overall performance of Prime Minister
Salam Fayyad?
West Bank
Good 38.4%
Neutral 38.3%
Poor 18.4%
Don't know 4.9%
20. In general, how do you rate the overall performance of Prime Minister
Salam Fayyad?
Gaza
Good 32.2%
Neutral 25.6%
Poor 35.8%
Don't know 6.4%
21. In general, how do you rate the overall performance of Ismael Haniyeh?
West Bank
Good 19.0%
Neutral 32.0%
Poor 31.4%
Don't know 17.6%
21. In general, how do you rate the overall performance of Ismael Haniyeh?
Gaza
Good 31.3%
Neutral 28.4%
Poor 38.9%
Don't know 1.3%
22. Do you believe Prime Minster Salam Fayyad has done his job well enough
to deserve re-election and reappointment as Prime Minister?
Yes 38.7%
No 30.2%
Neutral 23.3%
Don’t know 7.8%
23. Do you believe President Mahmoud Abbas has done his job well enough to
deserve re-election and reappointment as President?
Yes 28.8%
No 42.3%
Neutral 23.4%
Don’t know 5.5%
24. Who is most responsible for the lack of progress in the reconciliation
process?
Both Hamas and Fatah 51.2%
Hamas 15.8%
Fatah 8.2%
United States 7.7%
Other Arab countries 3.5%
Other Palestinian political parties 2.5%
Egypt 1.3%
European Union 0.8%
Other 5.5%
Don’t know 3.6%
25. In your opinion, what are the mechanisms that should be utilized to end
the Hamas-Fatah split in Gaza and West Bank? (Open ended- Top five answers)
Dialogue until reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas 70.8%
Don’t know 7.3%
Holding new elections 5.5%
Hamas should concede authority 2.2%
Hamas and Fatah should concede authority 1.6%
26. Which political stream is closest to describing your political views?
Fateh 40.4%
Hamas 16.4%
PFLP 5.2%
Al Mubadara 4.7%
Islamic Jihad 2.2%
PPP 1.4%
Hizb Tahreer 1.2%
DFLP 1.3%
Feda 0.5%
Popular Struggle 0.4%
None of the above 19.9%
Don’t know 6.5%
27. Do you believe that Palestinian society is generally heading in right or
the wrong direction?
Right direction 30.8%
Wrong direction 62.5%
Don't know 6.8%
28. Did you follow up the events in Tunisia which led to the removal of
President Zien El Abidine
Ben Ali from authority?
Yes 91.0%
No 9.0%
29. Do you think that what happened in Tunisia is positive or negative?
Positive 73.9%
Negative 18.3%
Don’t know 7.8%
(Sample Distribution) Publication Date: 2 February 2011
Field work: 24 January 2011
Sample Size: 1200 Palestinians in the West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: + 3%
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