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Friday, March 9, 2012
Teleseker Poll: National Camp between 71 to 74 seats - Kadima 10 with Livni (radically different from Dialogue poll)

Teleseker Poll: National Camp between 71 to 74 seats - Kadima 10 with Livni
(radically different from Dialogue poll)
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 9 March 2012

Two polls carried out during the same period with both claiming to be +/-
5.4 mandates come up with radically different results.

#1 Poll carried out week of 9 March 2012 by Teleseker of a representative
sample of 550 adults Israelis (including Israeli Arabs). Statistical error
+/- 4.5 percentage points. Published in Maariv 9 March 2012.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
27 27 [27] Likud
14 14 [13] Labor
14 --- [28] Kadima headed by Mofaz
--- 16 [28] Kadima headed by Livni
14 14 [15] Yisrael Beiteinu
11 10 [---] Lapid Party
10 10 [11] Arab parties
08 08 [11] Shas
05 05 [03] Meretz
04 04 [03] NRP/Jewish Home
04 04 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
04 04 [04] National Union
** ** [04] Ehud Barak's Independence Party

** Ehud Barak's Independence Party was on the borderline of getting enough
support to have the minimum votes to enter the Knesset.

Most appropriate to be prime minister:
Netanyahu 62.2% Livni 24.6% Neither 11.7%
Netanyahu 66.4% Mofaz 10.3% Neither 21.2%
Netanyahu 60.4% Gabi Ashkenazi 21% Neither 16.2%

Who do you believe more - Barak's or Ashkenazi's version of the Herpaz
incident?
Barak 17.3% Ashkenazi 48% Don't know/other 34.7%
DO you support or oppose Gabi AShkenazi entering politics?
Greatly suppport 20.8% COnsiderably support 44.4%
Considerably oppose 87% Greatly oppose 7.3%
Don't know 18.8%

#2 Poll carried out 4-5 March 2012 by Dialogue of a representative sample
of
497 adults Israelis (including Israeli Arabs). Statistical error +/- 4.5
percentage points. Published in Haaretz 9 March 2012.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
35 37 [27] Likud
15 16 [15] Yisrael Beiteinu
14 14 [13] Labor
12 --- [28] Kadima headed by Mofaz
--- 10 [28] Kadima headed by Livni
09 09 [11] Shas
08 07 [---] Lapid Party
07 07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
05 05 [07] Jewish Home/National Union (ran as separate tickets)
05 05 [03] Meretz
05 05 [04] Hadash (Arabs & a few extreme radical Jews)
05 05 [07] Other Arab parties

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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