Weekly Commentary: Six Reasons To Destroy Hezbollah In Surprise Attack Now
Dr. Aaron Lerner 30 June 2023

Here are six reasons to destroy Hezbollah in a surprise attack now:

#1. Superior results: By definition, a surprise Israeli attack minimizes
the damage Hezbollah can cause before it is destroyed. In sharp contrast,
if our forces only implement our battle plans after Hezbollah opts to compel
us to act, Hezbollah will be the party geared to maximize damage.

#2. War not involving Iran and others: A surprise Israeli attack buys the
Jewish State precious time to benefit from carrying out operations in a
single-arena or at most dual-arena (Lebanon and Gaza) conflict rather than
the treacherously broad multi-arena conflict we could very well face if we
allow Hezbollah to decide when the conflict starts.

#3. Diplomacy failed Hezbollah invasion: The world knows that we haven't
acted to forcibly remove the Hezbollah forces now deployed on our side of
the northern border as we fear that Hezbollah will respond by plunging us
into a full scale war. So its either war or diplomacy and the international
authorities have already made it crystal clear that they won't do anything
to actually resolved the situation.

#4. IAF reservists still battle ready: Reserve pilots are among key elements
of Israel's military strength whose "ready" status hinges on their ongoing
participation in "volunteer" reserve duty training activity. As of today
reserve pilots have only threatened to forfeit their "battle ready" status
by boycotting "volunteer" reserve duty training activity in protest of
judicial reform. There is no telling what will happen tomorrow.

#5. World focus on other fronts gives Israel time: There is so much going
on in the rest of the world that we could benefit by a particularly long
"window of opportunity" before facing pressure to stop.

#6. Time is not on our side: While we rush to add such gizmos to our
portfolio as revolutionary lasers and various platforms, our enemies are
also building up their capabilities at a breakneck pace. This is hardly the
time for analysis which only considers what we are working on

I have no illusions. We are talking about a COSTLY war in which civilians
save their own lives by following instructions because we don't have the
resources to intercept rockets bound for residential areas.

But the cost of taking our destiny into our own hands dwarfs the devastation
we may face if we allow Hezbollah and their Iranian bosses to call the
shots.
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