Weekly Commentary: Reaction To E-1 Indicates No Tsunami in September

Dr. Aaron Lerner 22 August 2025

While Two State Solution zealots are drooling over the prospects that various nations plan to join the 147 countries which already recognize a sovereign Palestinians state in September, the reaction to E-1 building plans indicates that the world understands that such action is meaningless without Israel’s consent.

There won’t be a tsunami in September.

That’s not to say that we should be complacent.

Germany’s surprise arms embargo serves as an important warning.

Political developments in the USA also send a clear message.

We have a window now of less than four years to reach defense independence.

That doesn’t mean being able to manufacture domestically every piece of equipment we now import.

It means thinking out of the box to deploy Israeli technology and production which can address Israel’s defense needs.

Elbit’s project to produce a portfolio of airborne lasers fits into such a program (if we don’t make the mistake of having some parts made overseas).

I want to be painfully clear about this: Even if we were remove the Jews from all of Judea and Samaria and even the Jewish Quarter of Jerusalem, the inevitable tension between what’s left of the Jewish State and a sovereign Palestinian State, inhabited by a population brainwashed for two generation by our PA “peace partner” to destroy us, could lead to an arms embargo.

Do not underrate the radicals who protested in the streets of America and Europe in support of Hamas.

Some of them already were White House staffers in the Biden administration and if things go wrong one of their supporters may be sitting in the White House.

So the good news is that we can stop the actual creation of a sovereign Palestinian state.

The bad news is that, regardless of how things turn out in the short run, that we need to embark on an intensive defense independence program.
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