Poll: Reminding Israeli Jews of policy difference between Gantz and
Netanyahu on Jordan Valley does not impact voting pattern
Dr. Aaron Lerner 18 February 2020

There is a difference between Benjamin Netanyahu's position and Benny
Gantz's position on applying sovereignty over the Jordan Valley: Benny Gantz
argues that Jordan's consent must be obtained for the process and Benjamin
Netanyahu argues that Jordan's consent is not required.

IMRA commissioned a poll to see if reminding respondents of this difference
would impact their voting by asking respondents twice who they are voting
for and how certain they are that they will vote. They were asked these
questions once before being asked their opinion as to if Gantz or
Netanyahu's position on the Jordan Valley is correct and then again after
being asked the question.

The poll found that bringing this difference to the attention of the
respondents had no impact on either how respondents intend to vote or the
extent to which they intend to vote.

A breakdown of voting preferences for those who did not know if Gantz or
Netanyahu was correct on the Jordan Valley issue finds considerably fewer
Likud supporters than in the total sample (12.7% as compared to 24.6%) and
substantially more people who have yet to decide who they were voting for
(23.2% as compared to 10.8% of the total sample).

The following are the complete results:

Research Findings - IMRA Political Survey

General

On February 16-17, 2020, the Panels Research conducted a political research
study.
In the study, 502 respondents aged 18+ participated, representing a
representative sample for the Jewish population in the State of Israel.
The study was conducted through the Panel4all Internet Respondents panel.
Maximum sampling error: 4.3%.
Summary of the findings: No indication was found of a difference in voting
patterns or willingness to vote following the presentation of the two
leaders' views on sovereignty over the Jordan Valley.

Findings

Total sample
If elections for the 23rd Knesset would take place today, who would you vote
for?
(1)Before ask question about Jordan Valley
(2) After ask question

(1) (2)
28.1% 27.8% Blue and White led by Benny Gantz
24.6% 24.8% Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu
07.3% 07.5% Yemina Right headed by Naftali Bennett
06.4% 06.8% Labor Gesher Meretz led by Amir Peretz Orly Levy and Nitzan
Horowitz
06.8% 06.2% Shas led by Arie Deri
05.1% 05.3% Yisrael Beiteinu led by Avigdor Lieberman
04.8% 04.8% Yahadut Hatorah led by Yaakov Litzman
03.0% 03.0% Otzma Yehudit power led by Itamar Ben Gvir
00.4% 00.6% To another party
10.8% 10.3% I haven't decided yet
02.8% 03.0% I will not vote

The 23rd Knesset elections will take place on 02/03/2020. Will you vote?
(1)Before ask question about Jordan Valley
(2) After ask question

(1) (2)
91.8% 91.4% Yes or think so
70.7% 70.1% Certain yes
21.1% 21.3% Probably yes
03.9% 03.5% Probably not
01.6% 01.8% Not sure
05.5% 05.3% No or probably not
02.7% 03.3% I have not yet decided

There is a difference between Benjamin Netanyahu's position and Benny
Gantz's position on applying sovereignty over the Jordan Valley: Benny Gantz
argues that Jordan's consent must be obtained for the process and Benjamin
Netanyahu argues that Jordan's consent is not required. Who is right?
45.2% Benjamin Netanyahu
26.5% Benny Gantz
28.3% Don't know

Sub-sample that certain voting
If elections for the 23rd Knesset would take place today, who would you vote
for?
(1)Before ask question about Jordan Valley
(2) After ask question

(1) (2)
33.2% 33.3% Blue and White led by Benny Gantz
25.6% 25.9% Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu
07.4% 07.4% Labor Gesher Meretz led by Amir Peretz Orly Levy and Nitzan
Horowitz
07.0% 07.0% Yemina Right headed by Naftali Bennett
06.0% 06.3% Yisrael Beiteinu led by Avigdor Lieberman
05.5% 05.5% Yahadut Hatorah led by Yaakov Litzman
05.9% 05.4% Shas led by Arie Deri
02.3% 02.8% Otzma Yehudit power led by Itamar Ben Gvir
00.3% 00.3% To another party
06.8% 06.3% I haven't decided yet

Sub-sample that did not know if Netanyahu or Gantz was right on the question
of applying sovereignty to the Jordan Valley
If elections for the 23rd Knesset would take place today, who would you vote
for?
(1)Before ask question about Jordan Valley
(2) After ask question

(1) (2)
26.6% 26.6% Blue and White led by Benny Gantz
12.7% 12.7% Likud led by Benjamin Netanyahu
09.5% 09.5% Yisrael Beiteinu led by Avigdor Lieberman
06.6% 06.6% Yemina Right headed by Naftali Bennett
05.3% 04.0% Shas led by Arie Deri
03.5% 03.5% Labor Gesher Meretz led by Amir Peretz Orly Levy and Nitzan
Horowitz
03.4% 03.4% Yahadut Hatorah led by Yaakov Litzman
02.1% 02.1% Otzma Yehudit power led by Itamar Ben Gvir
00.7% 01.4% To another party
23.2% 23.2% I haven't decided yet
06.3% 07.0% I will not vote
________________________________________
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Arab-Israeli relations

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