Weekly Commentary: Death of Prigozhin Illustrates That Having Intimate Intel
Can't Always Prevent Deadly Wrong Assessments
24 August, 2023
Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner mercenary group, had been a
Kremlin insider with an intimate knowledge of Putin.
Prigozhin even met with Putin after what's been termed his coup attempt.
So why would someone, knowing Putin as well as he knew Putin, put himself in
a situation in which he could be dispatched so easily?
I will take it a step further: even if it ultimately turns out that
Prigozhin accepted his fate in exchange for his family's survival the
question would be why he embarked on the coup before getting his family out
of harm's way.
There is an important lesson to be learned from the death of Prigozhin
which applies to our concerns: don't think that just because your
intelligence information is so deep and so broad that you cannot be deadly
wrong in your assessment as to what your enemy will do.
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